Hi there, my name is Ivan, FX trader. After studying varies sources of information for the past few years, my understanding of the FX market has improved dramatically, with this blog simply intending to share with you all a journey within my mind. When I make it to full-time trading, I know the first person I should be grateful to is an Aussie PA trader named Jonathon; He has been inspirational and an enormours influence to gauge where the money flows to. His trades can be followed at http://forexpriceactiontrader.blogspot.com/ . What price is telling you is key, as it always whispers in low or high intensity what market intentions are. I do not endorse the use of any indicators, as they are lagging in nature; analysis should be based on pure price action. Besides, other factors like sentiment, fundamentals, risk control, rock-solid discipline, thousands of hours readings charts, also make up the equation to succesfully ride the FX waves. When entry triggers are detected, I act without hesitation, letting the market do its thing. Please note, information and opinions contained in this blog are for educational purposes only and do not constitute trading recommendations, thus will not take responisbility for any losses viewers may have. Trading FX carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to invest you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. You should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose.







Thursday, 10 February 2011

GBP/USD thoughts...

Hi guys,

I am suspicious a few have been thinking to go long this pair after yesterday's price faked out shorts to get knocked back up... we have great confluence indeed, rejection from the 50% fib retrac, and all happening at big round number 1.6000. However, and this is crucial, all these have to be put into the context of whether or not we are gonna face troubling areas nearby... So suppose we wait for confirmation to go long, thats is, say entering above yesterday's PB high or another scenario(safer) is waiting for price to clear 1.6160 (CORRECTION) IB highs. Where do you think next area of strong traffic congetion will be faced? Thats right, just above at 1.6185 (CORRECTION) or thereabouts, for this simple reason I am not gonna enter....I am now paying much more attention at how much room do we have till price is blocked by one of this nasty FTA (First Troubling Areas as Johno call it, lets universalize this term so we save time typing... lol) rather than by the PA itself. Price Action is just the trigger, however as good hunters of pips we've to always understand what kind of environment we are surronded by, how threatening can be to go get the prey without any damage ( a loss) or at least before we find a shelter ( go BE) to protect oursleves from any upcoming threat. The second image gives you a better idea of what i am talking about...




3 comments:

  1. Hi,what kind of chart are you using?Is it NY close?You said--- price to clear 1.6060 IB highs.For my chart,why IB high is more than you mention 1.6060?

    http://clip2net.com/clip/m70997/1297407890-clip-11kb.png

    ReplyDelete
  2. Sorry, i meant 1.6160, I already amended the error...

    ReplyDelete
  3. Spot on ivan brilliant post, learning not to trade every Pa is key. I was looking at this pb but couldn,t take it because R/R wasn,t there. Resistance too close for me. Keep up the good work.

    cheers jeremy

    ReplyDelete